While the Fed is projecting growth, four key threats could derail the economy in 2026: policy-driven inflation, "stagflation lite," consumer exhaustion and a potential artificial intelligence bubble. While these "aren't necessarily recession triggers on their own, they could compound into something more serious if they collide," McInnis says.

What is a recession? What are the key indicators of a recession? How do government and central banks respond to recessions? What are the causes of recessions? How can individuals and businesses prepare for a recession? A recession is a major downturn in a ...

Leading company directors have abandoned high hopes for 2026, warning economic pain from the Iran conflict could be deeper and last longer than people realise.

Higher energy costs stemming from disruptions in Middle East exports will spill over to the US to some degree. Gauging how much of a shock the economy will absorb is challenging.

As the U.S. economy teeters on the edge, Moody’s Analytics has identified 22 states that are either in or near a recession. This economic downturn poses significant challenges for residents, affecting everything from employment to public services.

The Great Recession from 2007-09 saw GDP fall 4.3%, the biggest drop since the Great Depression. Deregulation in the 2000s and excessive risk by banks were major causes of the financial crisis. Post-recession, it took the Dow until 2013 to recover, while ...

Goldman Sachs updated its recession forecast on Sunday to increase the probability of a recession amid President Donald Trump's tariff war, adding that its analysis may be downgraded further if more tariffs take effect. Economists led by Jan Hatzius wrote ...

The recession has had a widely varying effect on charities in Europe, said speakers at this week’s International Fundraising Congress in Noordwijkerhout, the Netherlands. Among them: Adrian Sargeant, a British researcher at the Indiana University Center ...